12/07/2005

From the Inbox

From: Nikita James Nanos, CMRP
President & CEO
SES Research
T 613.234.4666
C 613.276.2731
www.sesresearch.com

The shift in focus from the Advertising Scandal to issues such as
daycare and healthcare seems to be playing to the Liberals favour.

Polling completed Tuesday December 6th indicates that the Liberals
are now at 40% popular support followed by the Conservatives at 28%,
the NDP at 17%, the BQ at 11% and the Green Party at 4%. Martin's
Performance Index Score increased 10 points on the day of his
National Daycare announcement.

Polling December 4 to December 6, 2005 (Random Telephone Survey of
1,200 Canadians, MoE ±2.9%, 19 times out of 20). Percentages may not
add up to 100 due to rounding. Our tracking polls allow for a daily
barometer on the activities of the respective campaigns. Longitudinal
tracking charts on all measures can be found at the SES website at
www.sesresearch.com.

All values in parenthesis are changes from our November 13th national
survey.

Canada Decided Voters
LIB - 40% (+6)
CP - 28% (NC)
NDP - 17% (-3)
BQ - 11% (-3)
GP - 4% (NC)
*18% of Canadians were undecided (+4)

In Quebec
BQ - 46% (-8)
LIB - 32% (+8)
CP - 10% (+1)
NDP - 8% (NC)
GP - 4% (NC)

Outside Quebec
LIB - 43% (+6)
CP - 33% (-2)
NDP - 20% (-5)
GP - 4% (NC)

Best PM
Martin - 29% (NC)
Unsure - 21% (+8)
Harper - 21% (-1)
None - 10% (-1)
Layton - 10% (-6)
Duceppe - 6% (-1)
Harris - 2% (-2)

Leadership Index (Daily composite of the Leaders' Trust, Competence
and Vision)*
Martin - 86 (+10)
Harper - 47 (-10)
Layton - 37 (+2)
Duceppe - 24 (NC)
Harris - 12 (+1)
* Change for this measure is from yesterday's composite score.

On the SES website (www.sesresearch.com), we post updated daily
longitudinal tracking chart, regional breakdowns and details on the
questions and the methodology each afternoon. Watch PrimeTime
Politics at 8 pm EST (Monday to Friday) to get a detailed briefing of
the numbers.

For any media use of the polling data, we need to clearly identify
the sponsor (CPAC). Please refer to the research as the CPAC-SES
Nightly Tracking.